Publications

Download all Coal Transitions Project reports

Multiple environmental, economic and political drivers have caused the coal transitions issue to become a key climate policy discussion topic, leading to a call for an assurance of “just transition”. Thus, this paper discusses the need for governments to raise their overall ambitions and nationally determined contributions (NDCs) towards coal transitions and reflects on how they should do it so that it is just for all stakeholders—especially coal sector workers and their communities—whose economic livelihoods depend on the future of an industry that will be in decline.

2017 Raise Climate Ambition Report  [PDF – 891 KB] Download 

 

II. TRANSITIONING BEYOND COAL: LESSONS FROM THE STRUCTURAL RENEWAL OF EUROPE’S OLD INDUSTRIAL REGIONS

It is often assumed that a transition to a low-carbon future will have highly disruptive and potentially devastating effects on coal regions and their communities. However, evidence from the experience of industrial decline and attempted renewal in Europe’s old industrial regions demonstrates that successful regional transition is—while not inevitable—indeed possible.  Drawing on the literature of regional resilience and innovation, the paper offers lessons, insights and cautionary warnings from the experience of renewal initiatives in Europe’s old industrial regions and illustrates the ways in which some of the seeds for a ‘just’ regional transitions to zero-carbon economies may, in fact, lie in a careful understanding of the potential to build on the specific historical context of the regions industrial development and capabilities.

2017 Coal Transitions in China [PDF – 998 KB] Download 

III. COAL TRANSITIONS IN CHINA’S POWER SECTOR: A PLANT-LEVEL ASSESSMENT OF STRANDED ASSETS AND RETIREMENT PATHWAYS

This paper addresses the following questions:

  • Under plausible scenarios for the development of the demand/supply balance, load factors, and generation margins, what is the profitability of Chinese coal-fired power plants and the scale of potential asset stranding?
  • What policies could be deployed to limit the political economy frictions of power sector transition in China?
  • What would be the potential economic retirement schedule of Chinese coal-fired power plants, given the modelled investment costs, load factors, and margins? Put more simply, how quickly could China get out of coal power?

2017 Coal Transitions in China [PDF – 713 KB] Download 

IV. LESSONS FROM PREVIOUS COAL TRANSITIONS

The stabilisation of the climate system in line with the Paris Agreement on climate change is impossible without the timely phase out of unabated coal from the global energy system. As is increasingly recognised, this transition must also be “just” for workers and local communities. The Coal Transitions report inform the future of coal producing regions, highlighting key lessons from previous coal transitions, in the Netherlands, UK, Czech Republic, Poland, Spain and the US

SYNTHESIS REPORT

 2017 Synthesis Report  [PDF – 990 KB] Download 

COUNTRY CASE STUDIES

Czech Republic [PDF – 1,131 KB] Download 

Spain [PDF – 1,276 KB] Download 

Poland  [PDF – 1,276 KB] Download 

The Netherlands [PDF – 927 KB] Download 

The United Kingdom  [PDF – 842 KB] Download 

The United States [PDF – 990 KB] Download 

PRESS SUMMARY

Download the most important messages of the project.

Expect the next coal transition reports:
  • Global report on coal transitions (2018)
  • Round Table on the Future of Coal (2018)